Sunday, 25 September 2011
A SUSTAINABLE PLAN HAS TO BE PUT FORWARD TO SAVE GREECE
It is impossible to save Greece (and the EURO) without a plan that is feasible. The Greeks will no longer accept a promise of blood, sweat and tears alone. If Greece goes burst many will follow (Italy in the front row).
I WILL FOLLOW THE BIG GUYS-BUY WHEN OTHER ARE SELLING WITH NO REASON
"Most investors are about equally good (or bad) at selecting stocks and other investments as well as at “timing” the market. However, some investors are more responsible and disciplined in their approach and that is where the superior performance comes from."
Monday, 19 September 2011
Sunday, 18 September 2011
GOLD VS APPLE, DOW JONES AND S&P-APPLE IS A WINNER
GCZ1 : CEC:Commodities Exchange Centre
- 1 Day
- 5 Day
- 1 Mo
- 3 Mo
- 6 Mo
- YTD
- 1 Yr
- 3 Yr
- 5 Yr
- 10 Yr
BUT GOLD DOES VERY WELL
KRUGMAN ON GOLD
"And this says that the price of gold should jump in the short run.
The logic, if you think about it, is pretty intuitive: with lower interest rates, it makes more sense to hoard gold now and push its actual use further into the future, which means higher prices in the short run and the near future.
But suppose this is the right story, or at least a good part of the story, of gold prices. If so, just about everything you read about what gold prices mean is wrong.
For this is essentially a “real” story about gold, in which the price has risen because expected returns on other investments have fallen; it is not, repeat not, a story about inflation expectations. Not only are surging gold prices not a sign of severe inflation just around the corner, they’re actually the result of a persistently depressed economy stuck in a liquidity trap — an economy that basically faces the threat of Japanese-style deflation, not Weimar-style inflation. So people who bought gold because they believed that inflation was around the corner were right for the wrong reasons.
And if you view the gold story as being basically about real interest rates, something else follows — namely, that having a gold standard right now would be deeply deflationary. The real price of gold “wants” to rise; if you try to peg the nominal price level to gold, that can only happen through severe deflation.
OK, none of this necessarily rejects other hypotheses about gold; in particular, there could be a bubble over and above the Hotelling aspect. But the crucial message is, I think, right: If you believe that gold prices are signaling an inflationary threat, I have to tell you, I do not think that price means what you think it means."
HELP GREECE OR FORGET THE EURO
Unfortunately the European leadership of Europe is now very weak, and Ms. Merkel has no strength to do what has to be done (i.e. promote asap the Eurobonds). The UK is out of this game, as usual. France is trying to play a role, but its importance has long disappeared. So while Greece is on life support, the markets will suffer.
FABER'S ALLOCATION STRATEGY
"I have 25 per cent in real estate and real estate-related equities here in Asia, 25 per cent in gold, 25 per cent in stocks and 25 per cent in cash".
Although it looks fine, I thing it is not yet the time to have that much in real estate (I am invested in NLY, but only 5% of the total) and also the gold share seems excessive (I will stick with 10%). I have now 70% in stocks, 10% in gold, 5% in real estate and 15% in cash).
Although it looks fine, I thing it is not yet the time to have that much in real estate (I am invested in NLY, but only 5% of the total) and also the gold share seems excessive (I will stick with 10%). I have now 70% in stocks, 10% in gold, 5% in real estate and 15% in cash).
WAITING FOR GOLD PRICES TO FALL TO BUY AGAIN
Gold, being overbought right now, is likely to fall. Be patient and buy on the dip.
Saturday, 17 September 2011
FABER'S PERSPECTIVE ON GOLD
"I think it is important for investors to understand the role of gold as an insurance against a systemic failure and not necessarily as a hedge against inflation. I should add that I own gold for both reasons, believing that it will perform well in both an inflationary and deflationary environment. In addition, I am not selling any gold but traders should realise the gold price is extremely overbought and that it could easily drop toward the 200-day moving average – that is, between $1,500 and $1,600 (not a prediction). As I just said, I am not selling my gold because I expect much higher prices in future. But, near term, both T-bonds and gold appear vulnerable to a more serious correction"
Friday, 16 September 2011
Thursday, 15 September 2011
Monday, 12 September 2011
MARC FABER VERY BULISH ON GOLD
"According to some statistics the gold price today should be worth between $6,000 per ounce and $10,000 per ounce. "
I agree, but still think the $2000 resistence level will be crutial.
I agree, but still think the $2000 resistence level will be crutial.
MY MEDIUM/LONG TERM BETS
- AAPL
- DGP
- WMT
- XOM
- KO
-NESN
-SLW
-MON
-INTC
-JNJ
-DFJ
-MSFT
-NLY
ALEA IACTA EST
- DGP
- WMT
- XOM
- KO
-NESN
-SLW
-MON
-INTC
-JNJ
-DFJ
-MSFT
-NLY
ALEA IACTA EST
Being Greedy
For the long time investor there could be no better time to start buying stocks like there was no tomorrow. The prices are so cheap, there is no way to lose money (in the medium term-buy now and forget about your stocks for a while). I will disclose my portfolio soon, after buying some bargains. I can tell you though that Apple is on my shopping list and I am also starting to bet on the medium/long term on real estate (to be sure I am buying NLY with a 14,6% yield). I am also obliged to buy DGP at this price.
EURO-SELF FULFILLING PROFECY
With Germany, the only relevant european economical power-house, on the ropes due to electoral pressures, Greece is most likely to go down. I will start to bet heavy against the Euro, there is no other way.
Sunday, 11 September 2011
Friday, 9 September 2011
CHF
How long will Switzerland be able to maintain the 1,2 Euro threshold intact, by printing money to buy foreign currency and to allow the Swiss companies to keep afloat? This is the 1,000,000 USD question now. I bet they will not be able to keep with it after 31 December, namely if the economy rebounds.
Thursday, 8 September 2011
Ups - here we go with a nice one day profit with DGO - bought at 66.93 sold at 69,58, made an easy 26,500 USD
Deutsche Bank AG DB Gold Double
(NYSEArca: DGP )Last Trade: | 67.00 |
---|---|
Trade Time: | Sep 7 |
Change: | 0.00 (0.00%) |
Prev Close: | 67.00 |
Open: | N/A |
Bid: | 69.85 x 1400 |
Ask: | 69.88 x 1500 |
NAV¹: | 39 |
Day's Range: | N/A - N/A |
---|---|
52wk Range: | 33.11 - 73.71 |
Volume: | 166,463 |
Avg Vol (3m): | 1,367,980 |
YTD Return |
Wednesday, 7 September 2011
Can't resist-it is a bargain at this price!!!!!
As I suspected gold went down, and this is most likely the medium term trend. In the meantime in the sell off just bought some
PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN - 9:22AM EDT | |||
DGP | 66.93 |
-4.56 (-6.38%)
| |
Open: | 0.00 | Day Range: | 66.73-70.00 |
Previous Close: | 71.49 | 52 Week Range: | 33.11-73.71 |
Tuesday, 6 September 2011
Good to know: Marc Faber on gold
“I don’t think that gold is in a bubble. When you buy gold, it’s an insurance against systematic failure and problems in the financial markets.
JUST SOLD ALL MY GOLD - NOT WAITING TO 1995
It is time to be fearful in relation to Gold and even Silver. Just sold and reinvested in Apple (selling also calls for December and pocketing some good money in advance for Christmas gifts).
Monday, 5 September 2011
INVESTMENT HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
Sir John Templeton said, "The four most expensive words in the English language are, "This time it's different"".
Gold at 2000 USD will implode - jump to silver or to Apple or stay on the sidelines for a while.
Gold at 2000 USD will implode - jump to silver or to Apple or stay on the sidelines for a while.
GOLD FUTURES ABOVE 1900 - TIME TO BE FEARFUL
As promised, I am about to change name to Silver Boy. I will jump at 1995 USD.
BE GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEARFUL, BE FEARFUL WHEN OTHERS ARE GREEDY.
It is time to be fearful and cash some profits. I will sell gold and buy Silver or Apple.
BE GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEARFUL, BE FEARFUL WHEN OTHERS ARE GREEDY.
It is time to be fearful and cash some profits. I will sell gold and buy Silver or Apple.
Sunday, 4 September 2011
MICHAEL MALONEY PREDICTION IN 2008!
As the dollar continues to collapse, big investors will first turn to gold and dramatically drive up its price. By the time the public catches on, gold will look pretty expensive to them. Everybody will then start hearing about silver being rarer than gold. In a frenzy, people will dive to into silver, just as the stock piles are practically diminished and production has practically stopped. That is when silver prices will explode.
GOLDEN BOY PREDICTION: as soon gold hits 2000 USD, the silver rush will start.
It is a great time for those wanting to make a lot of money to start investing in silver now.
GOLDEN BOY PREDICTION: as soon gold hits 2000 USD, the silver rush will start.
It is a great time for those wanting to make a lot of money to start investing in silver now.
Saturday, 3 September 2011
MARK FABER ON GOLD - UPDATE
"For the next 6 months gold will rather decline than go up"
Therefore, under both scenarios – stagflation or deflationary recession – gold, gold equities, and other precious metals should continue to perform better than financial assets
Therefore, under both scenarios – stagflation or deflationary recession – gold, gold equities, and other precious metals should continue to perform better than financial assets
GOLD HAS BEST MONTH SINCE 2009
"Roll up your sleeve, it’s time for a syringe full of fact! Gold has just blown the triple whistle on its best month since November 2009.
The Barbarous Relic gained $200.20 this month, or 12.3%, to finish at $1828.50. That’s the biggest percentage gain since November 2009."
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